Renewed optimism and hope at UW
Purple patches and rose colored glasses
Rich Linde, 8 August 2009
As the new season approaches, optimism reigns supreme among the Huskies
fan base. The enthusiasm coach Steve Sarkisian brought to the table at
last Friday’s press conference has fired me
up.
Sark’s optimism has rubbed off on the fans, the team and UW’s sour
media. Okay, forget the last one. Anyway, they called Gil Dobie “Gloomy
Gil” for his prevailing pessimism, didn’t they? In contrast, I'm calling
Sarkisian, “Sanguine Sark.”
Furthermore, if
Dobie was the "Apostle of Grief," then Sark is the "Apostle of Belief."
He brings an enthusiastic, optimistic
approach to the football program, not seen here in years.
I mean we’re talking “Grumpy Gilby” and “Paint Dry Ty” over the last
six years.
Sarkisian came to Washington wanting to change a culture and change an
attitude.
"I feel like it's happening,” he says. “We're a healthy,
athletic, strong football team heading into training camp. It took a lot
of time and effort … There was a huge emphasis on speed,
change-of-direction, explosiveness, especially heading into spring ball.
And this summer was about getting stronger again. I think our kids have
responded really well. After eight months, it's great to look back and
see what we've accomplished so far. And I've said it before and I'll say
it again. I don't think it's going to take us long. We're going to
become a great football team."
Aside from
Sark’s encouraging words, my renewed sanguinity rests with the
following:
1. More points on the board. In the spring game, the Huskies needed to
show they could put points on the board. Although
the first-team offense played against the second-team defense, it was
paramount for the Dawgs to light up the LEDs. Last season,
the Huskies averaged just 13.2 points per game, motoring a 2004 Gilby,
which, with the progress made these last 8 months, will be traded in for
a 2009 Sark via the cash for clunkers program. (*)
The Dawgs averaged 33
points per scrimmage over the course of their 3 outings during the
spring.
Expectation: Post an average
of 28 points per game while keeping opponents under 28.
2. An improved quarterback is in the
offing. Jake Locker is a more accurate passer than he has been in the
past, and he’s the best quarterback in the Pac-10. Locker's passing
efficiency rating over his last 8 games, which includes four scrimmages,
is 130.29 and, over that time, he completed 61.1% of his passes.
When Locker's offensive line and receivers are the equal or the better
of the pass defense he is facing, he will be as good a passer as any
other quarterback in the Pac-10, if not better.
His running ability is without equal among quarterbacks in the
conference and, for that matter, in most of the country. At 6-3, 225,
with speed and power in his afterburners, he can bust it up the
gut, take it to the edge, and punish skittish
tacklers with his bulk and strength. Although, Sarkisian says he wants
to rein-in Locker’s running, he has, at his disposal in Locker, a weapon
of mass destruction that can be unleashed with the element of surprise.
Expectation: Locker to
complete a number of short to intermediate range passes, with a
completion percentage near 60%. He'll win at least one game with his
legs and earn some purple patches.
Against LSU, I expect Locker to play as well as he did against Oklahoma
last season. See Table 1 at the end of this article. The article
above (see link) supports this notion statistically.
3.
Round-robin scheduling
gives Washington a home-field advantage, which will be augmented by an improved
defense. The Huskies play seven home games, with five conference games
at home and four on the road. I look for a marked improvement on
defense, with Senior Danny Te'o-Nesheim leading a rapidly maturing
defensive line and Senior E. J. Savannah heading the best linebacker
corps in the Pac-10.
That improvement, mainly
stopping the run, will reignite Husky Stadium into being the twelfth man
on the field -- a conflagration of noise and enthusiasm likely to burn
Idaho, Arizona, Oregon and WSU at home. LSU and USC watch out, the Dawgs
are back and won’t play dead for anybody regardless of its
lofty ranking. On the road, as momentum builds, the Huskies could
surprise Stanford, UCLA and ASU.
Expectation:
Keep LSU's Charles Scott (5-11, 233) from taking it to the house on the Tigers' first offensive series, which should be a wakeup call for
coach Les Miles. The same goes for Jahvid Best and Jeff Tedford. Hold the opposition to a maximum of
150 yards rushing per game. Win 4 or 5 conference games.
4. The receiving corps
is deep and talented. You can’t have the best quarterback in the Pac-10
without having someone to catch the ball. Besides having proven commodities at
wide receiver (D’Andre Goodwin, Jermaine Kearse and Devin Aguilar), we
finally get to see 4-star recruit Anthony Boyles and highly-regarded
freshman James Johnson in action. The tight ends look solid and two of
them are 4-star studs. An improved passing game should open up the
running game, which should energize the offensive line, which
underachieved last season.
Expectation:
Average at least 200 passing yards per game.
5. The running game.
They called Reggie Bush “the pres” at USC. At running back, Washington has its own
“pres,” Chris Polk, who some have likened to the playmaking Bush. I look
for Polk, Willie Griffin, Demetrius Bronson, Curtis Shaw and Johri
Fogerson to launch an improved running game, mostly by committee.
Expectation:
Average at least 160 rushing yards per game, which includes Locker's
contribution.
Becoming a great
football team should start right now. The main ingredients are all there:
Locker, Chris Polk, Goodwin, Te’o-Nesheim, Savannah, Cody Habben, Kavario
Middleton, Paul Homer, you name
them. The list goes on.
There is no talent to waste, but there is enough talent to win.
Sark and his assistant
coaches must continue to work cohesively to bring the best out of the
team. The ongoing progress made the last eight months plus the upcoming
practices will bring their just rewards.
This protégé of Pete
Carroll brings his mentor’s zest for winning to the Huskies, and the
Huskies will begin to win again starting this season.
---------
(*) The 2004
Gilby averaged 14 points per game over combined home and away driving.
There are
five other players on the team with former U.S. president's last names.
Can you name them?
Answer:
Vince Taylor, Jordan Polk, Ben Hayes, and James and "Tripper" Johnson.
You got 'em
right? Take two smart pills and call Alex Trebek in the morning. ;-)
-----------------
Table 1. Locker's passing
efficiency over his last 8 games.
The cumulative ratings are shown on the right side of the table.
| Game |
C |
A |
Y |
T |
I |
PE |
C |
A |
Y |
T |
I |
PE |
| Spring '08 |
13 |
17 |
159 |
1 |
1 |
161.69 |
13 |
17 |
159 |
1 |
1 |
161.69 |
| Oregon |
12 |
28 |
103 |
0 |
0 |
73.76 |
25 |
45 |
262 |
1 |
1 |
107.35 |
| BYU |
17 |
32 |
204 |
1 |
0 |
116.19 |
42 |
77 |
466 |
2 |
1 |
111.36 |
| Oklahoma |
16 |
24 |
154 |
0 |
0 |
120.57 |
58 |
101 |
620 |
2 |
1 |
113.54 |
| Stanford |
5 |
9 |
51 |
0 |
0 |
103.16 |
63 |
110 |
671 |
2 |
1 |
112.69 |
| 04/11/09 |
10 |
18 |
142 |
1 |
0 |
140.16 |
73 |
128 |
813 |
3 |
1 |
116.56 |
| 04/18/09 |
10 |
16 |
133 |
1 |
1 |
140.45 |
83 |
144 |
946 |
4 |
2 |
119.21 |
| 04/25/09 |
16 |
18 |
200 |
2 |
0 |
218.89 |
99 |
162 |
1146 |
6 |
2 |
130.29 |