Jake is back!
Rich Linde, 15 Dec 09
Steve Sarkisian
will never win the Nobel Peace Prize; once again he's preparing to
launch a Weapon of Mass Destruction.
To
wit: forgoing the NFL Draft, Jake Locker will finish his senior year at
Washington. Bad news for nine teams in the Pac-10, but good news for the Huskies.
And bad news for Sark; he won't get a free trip to Oslo.
Locker's impeccable
credentials are legion.
Résumé: has the passing arm
of Warren Moon and the powerful, zigzagging running style of Hugh McElhenny;
bears an an uncanny resemblance to John Elway
during his playing days at Stanford.
Who cloned this guy? Coming
out of Ferndale, Washington is like coming from Chicken Dinner Road in
Idaho, which is on Cody Pickett's résumé.
None of the experts would
buy into Ferndale as being a launching pad for a future NFL quarterback.
Going into the 2009 season,
according to the them, Locker's career pass-completion percentage
of 48.7% portended a failing season. He should be playing safety or
another position, other then quarterback, they said.
The stats said otherwise.
Enough for us to
conclude, "When Locker's offensive line and receivers are the equal or
the better of the pass defense he is facing, he will be as good a passer
as any other quarterback in the Pac-10 next season, if not better. The
tutoring he's receiving from quarterbacks coach Doug Nussmeier and Sarkisian,
a former quarterback, will only make Locker a better passer."
That effects of their tutoring appear
graphically in Figures 1 and 2 below, which show a dramatic improvement
in completion percentage during the 2009 season.
Locker threw for 2800 yards,
while accounting for 388 yards on the ground; Locker's numbers were 71% of UW's offense. Over
his career at UW, he's completed 53.3% of his passes, with an efficiency
rating of 116.82; he posted a rating of 129.75 this year.
Locker leads the
conference's returning quarterbacks in passing-average per game for
the 2009 season (Table 1).
Sark's Locker-rocket, with its
Elway-like booster, is on course for a bowl game next season,
providing the Holt-missile, designed to shoot down incoming bogie's,
doesn't fall off the launch pad.
This season, total defense improved by
14% and run
defense improved by a 38% margin, a dramatic improvement over last
season. Although pass defense was down by 12%,
more significantly, however, pass-efficiency defense improved by
10%.
In the spring, the defensive
line needs to improve its bull rushes and swim moves; the special teams
need to work on their kickoff coverage and kickoff returns; Erik Folk and
Will Mahan need to rocket some kicks and punts. You know, blah, blah, blah...same old, same
old stuff.
As for his WMD and the NPP,
Sark will be preparing to light the fuse, while Oslo is on hold.
Table 1. Locker leads an
impressive array of conference quarterbacks into the 2010 season.
| Name |
School |
YR |
Pct. |
Avg/G |
|
Jake Locker |
UW |
SR |
58.2 |
233.3 |
|
Nick Foles |
Ariz |
JR |
66.1 |
221.6 |
|
Kevin Riley |
Cal |
SR |
54.6 |
219.7 |
|
Matt Barkley |
USC |
SO |
58.4 |
216.8 |
|
Andrew Luck |
Stan |
FR |
56.2 |
214.6 |
|
Jeremiah Masoli |
Ore |
SR |
58.9 |
187.8 |
|
Kevin Prince |
UCLA |
SO |
56.7 |
182.9 |
Figure 1. During the 2009
season, Locker's pass-completion percentage stayed over the 50% mark,
ranging from a low of 51.6% against Stanford to a high of 82.6% against
Cal.

Figure 2. With each game in 2009, Locker's career pass-completion stat
continued to improve.
