Preview: Ohio State versus Washington
Richard Linde, 1 August 2007
Washington
plays Ohio State, last year’s BCS runner-up to the national
champion, on September 15 at Husky Stadium. This will be the
third-game of a brutal five-game opening stint that features games
against Syracuse, Boise State, the Buckeyes, UCLA, and USC. The
Syracuse and UCLA games are on the road, and the other three are at
home.
While Washington
arguably plays the toughest schedule in the nation, Ohio State plays
the ninth easiest schedule, according to one source. The Buckeyes go
up against such power houses as Division I-AA Youngstown State,
Akron, and Kent State, all three of those games played at home. Each
of the eleven teams in the Big Ten plays an eight-game conference
schedule, leaving plenty of room for scheduling, er hum, me ladies.
Last season,
Ohio State finished 12-1, won the Big Ten title outright, and
finished second in the polling.
From that team,
the Buckeyes lose 13 starters, 7 on offense and 6 on defense. I am
counting FB Stan White (four varsity letters) as an offensive loss,
while some people are saying the Buckeyes lose six players on each
side of the ball. Gone is Heisman Trophy winner Troy Smith at
quarterback. Smith completed 65 percent of his passes last season,
that is, 203 out of 311 passes, for 2542 yards, 30 touchdowns, and
only 6 interceptions.
Smith was
drafted by Baltimore in the fifth round of the NFL draft. Seven
other Buckeyes were chosen in the draft.
Scarlet-and-gray
coach
Jim Tressel (62-14, 6 years at OSU) is returning 38 lettermen: 18
players on offense and 20 on defense. All of them are quality
players – or it wouldn't be Ohio State – and they are ready to take
over for the departing players thanks to the experience that Tressel
has wisely given them in the past. Playing a couple of pasties
(Washington excluded) at the beginning of the season will help the
young players ease into the schedule.
Tressel does have an enviable situation at Ohio State, one in which
he can develop young, quality players in what would seem, almost, at
his leisure.
His football machine is one of perpetual motion, one that runs
itself on infinite energy.
Thanks to the eastern mafia, the Buckeyes can play a soft
out-of-conference schedule with impunity and not pay for it in the
national rankings, as a Pac-10 team would. So, each year they seem
to cruise along, whether they are loaded or booting up. Speaking of
love affairs, the ESPN network covered the Big Ten’s football media
day on July 31.
Tressel looks to stop the run first and put young QB Jake Locker in
tenuous situation, forcing him to throw the ball. Jake will be
working on his footwork this summer to improve his passing accuracy.
As we all know, bad habits are hard to correct, and sometimes in the
heat of battle, it's just easier to go what you have done in the
past than to force yourself into unfamiliar territory.
If Tressel jumps off to a big lead, he can develop more young
players in the second half and give young Locker a chance to work on
his rhythm and shim sham shimmy. Coaches have to stick together, you
know.
The 75,310 fans
who attended the Ohio State spring game might have witnessed the
closest game Ohio State will play this season at home, up until the
time it plays Michigan State on October 8. The Gray beat the Scarlet
17-9.
Isn’t there
anything better to do in Columbus, on a Saturday afternoon in the
spring, than to watch a dull football scrimmage?
On a recruiting
scale over the last 5 years, Ohio State has a national average
ranking of 14th best in the country compared to
Washington’s 31st, according to data on scout.com. In our six-stat
comparator from last year, the Buckeyes boast a national average
ranking of 14.1, while the Huskies post a 78.8, where lowest number
wins.
With a new
quarterback and young receivers, Jim Tressel is likely to go with a
more conservative attack than last year’s offense, which featured
among other formations, some five-receiver sets and two-back power
running formations, those mixed with a quarterback draw or two.
"There’s very
little in offensive football that we didn’t have in the package
(last year)," Tressel says. "So will we be able to do all of that? I
doubt it, early on. I don’t want to err and have (a new quarterback)
do every little thing that we asked Troy (Smith) to do, because
there’s a building process."
Almost fifty
years ago, a young, sophomore-laden Husky team, coached by Jim
Owens, traveled to Columbus and gave the Buckeyes (6-1-2) an
unexpectedly close game, losing 12-7.
Twenty-point underdogs to the
third-ranked Buckeyes and outweighed 33 pounds per man on the front
line, the youthful Huskies out-gained the Buckeyes 276 to 196.
After the game at midfield, a
disappointed Woody Hayes told Owens that he (Owens) needed to work on his
offense.
That game
presaged the following season in 1959, when the Huskies finished
10-1, and won the Rose Bowl.
This game gives
Tyrone Willingham a chance to prove his mettle as the head football
coach at Washington and should his team win or give the Buckeyes a
close game, it would propel his Husky career forward, as it did for
the incomparable Jim Owens way back in ’58. (*)
Quarterback
(edge Washington):
Todd Boeckman (6-foot-5, 235, JR) is set to replace Smith at
quarterback, and he’ll be pushed by Rob Schoenhoft (6-foot-6, 240,
SO), who had a good spring. Boeckman has good mobility for his size,
and played in three games last season, throwing 3 times and
completing 2.
UW Comparator: This could be a break out game for Washington’s Jake
Locker, who could possibly replicate John Elway’s feat, when he beat
Oklahoma, 31-14, at Norman, Oklahoma in 1980, during a driving
rainstorm.
Geez, don’t wish for a rainstorm.
Running Back:
(edge Ohio State)
The Buckeyes lose Antonio Pittman, who rushed for 1233 yards last
season. Pittman was drafted by New Orleans in the fourth round of
the NFL draft.
However, OSU is doubly well off at tailback, returning Chris
“Beanie” Wells (6-foot-1, 225, SO) and Maurice “Mo” Wells
(5-foot-10, 190, JR). Each of the Wells’s played 13 games last
season, and combined for 747 yards on the ground. They are not
related; they give OSU a nice inside/outside combo.
Watch for true freshman blazer, Brandon Saine (6-foot-1, 205), who
runs a 4.3, to take a few pigskins to the house as the season
progresses.
FB Dionte Johnson (6-foot-0, 234, SR) gives Ohio State a powerful
blocking back, along with Trevor Robinson (6-foot-0, 220, SR). Each
has won three letters at fullback.
UW Comparator: The Huskies only have two scholarship tailbacks
returning, but both must be reckoned with. The leading rusher from
last year, Louis Rankin, is back, but he is the only one with any
experience. Junior J. R. Hasty has resolved the academic issues that
have kept him off the field. A couple of incoming freshmen are
expected to help out at tailback.
Luke Kravitz and Paul Homer will get some work at fullback, as Mark
Palaita has finished his career at UW.
Offensive line
(big edge Ohio State)
Three offensive linemen from last season return: OT Alex Boone
(6-foot-8, 320, JR), OG Steve Rehring (6-foot-8, 329, JR), and OT
Kirk Barton (6-foot-6, 310, SR). Boone is a likely NFL first round
draft pick, Rehring is good enough to play in the NFL some day and
Barton, another NFL prospect, is considered to be an excellent
blocker. Jim Cordle (6-foot-4, 285, SO) is the heir apparent to Doug
Datish’s position at center, and Ben Person (6-foot-4, 315, JR) is
expected to take over for T.J. Downing at right guard.
Juniors Jon Skinner (two letters) and Kyle Mitchum (1 varsity
letter) will lend some experience to the rotation.
The rest of the backups are young and inexperienced, but they
feature loads of talent, along with all the hoopla and hype left
over from the recruiting battles. Mostly likely, they will live up
to all the fanfare.
Barton and Boone have been named to the 2007 Outland Trophy watch
list.
UW Comparator: Washington lacks depth here and has no one with NFL
potential, let alone watch-list potential. But some people expect
Washington’s starting five to be better than last season’s OL, which
allowed just 19 sacks all year. The Huskies OL is big in size and is
receiving a lot of emphasis from coach Willingham, who considers it
to be the most important positional unit on the team. In March, his
eyes sparkled noticeably, with just a hint of a smile on his lips,
when I complimented him on what he was doing with the OL. I liked
the offensive lines he put together at Notre Dame, and like his
persona, in general.
Wide Receivers
(edge Washington)
Ted Ginn Jr. (781 yards in 2006) and Anthony Gonzales (734 yards)
have departed. Ginn and Gonzales were drafted in the first round of
the NFL draft. Big wide receiver Roy Hall (6-foot-3, 240, 4.3), who
played behind Ginn, Gonzales and Brian Robiskie, was a surprise pick
in the draft going to the Indianapolis Colts in the fifth round.
Replacing them will be Robiskie (6-foot-3, 195, JR) and Brian
Hartline (6-foot-3, 180, SO). Each played in 13 games last season
and together accounted for 639 yards.
Played sparingly as a freshman last season, Ray Small had eight
catches in 10 games. Small is one of the fastest members of the
team.
Considering the losses, the wide receiver position doesn’t appear to
be the offensive strength of this team, although Robiskie has a
chance to be Boeckman’s go to guy.
In fact, the wide receiver and quarterback positions remain
questions that Tressel’s offense needs to answer going into the
season. His offensive line and running backs should do just fine.
UW Comparator: Wide receiver, considered to be a strength of the
Huskies, took a blow recently when incoming freshmen Anthony Boyles
and Devin Aquilar were apparently lost to a non-qualifying SATs.
They plan to retake the test in September. Look for WR Marcel Reece
to do an imitation of Roy Hall during the game.
Tight End
(Even)
Rory Nicol (6-foot-5, 250, JR) returns at tight end. Last season, he
caught 13 passes for 151 yards and 3 touchdowns, and they say he has
speed and strength to burn. Jake Ballard, who was a true freshman
last year, played in 12 games; he and Andy Miller (redshirt
freshman) give the tight end position some quality depth.
UW Comparator: There is nothing to get excited about here, for
either team. Willingham will run this position by committee.
Defensive linemen
(Slight edge Ohio State)
DE Jay Richardson, and DTs Quinn Pitcock (98th selection
in NFL draft) and David Patterson, all starters last season, have
departed. That leaves DE Vernon Gholston (6-foot-4, 260, JR) as the
lone returning starter. Gholston, who cannonaded the opposition for
49 tackles, 8.5 sacks and 15 tackles for a loss last season, will
likely need double teaming this season.
The other DE, 6-foot-6, 270 pound Junior Lawrence Wilson accumulated
14 tackles, 5 tackles for a loss, and 3 sacks in rotation last year,
playing in 11 games.
DTs Todd Denlinger (6-foot-3, 280, SO) and Doug Worthington
(6-foot-7, 274, SO) played in 11 and 7 games, respectively, last
season.
The soft schedule, which opens with Youngstown State and Akron at
home, will give the defensive tackles a chance to mold into run
stoppers before the season gets tougher in October.
UW Comparator: Washington returns some experience on the defensive
line, but, as a whole, the returning players are small compared to
OSU’s big guys. The UW DL features no one like Gholston, who,
incidentally, has been named to the Ted Hendricks Award watch list.
The Hendricks Award goes to the most outstanding defensive end in
college football.
Tressell wants to pound the ball up the gut, to ease his team into
the game. It’s critical for this unit to stop that from happening,
and, as part of the front seven, force some three and outs.
Linebackers
(Big edge Ohio State)
Starters last season, Marcus Freeman (6-foot-2, 242, JR) and James
Laurinaitis (6-foot-3, 243, JR) return at linebacker. Laurinaitis
won the 2006 Nagurski Award, posting 115 tackles, with 4 sacks and 5
interceptions. He’s been named to the 2007 Bronco Nagurski watch
list. Laurinaitis is the son of professional wrestler Joe
Laurinaitis, who is a member of the Road Warrior Animals.
Freeman had 71 tackles last season.
Larry Grant, Curtis Terry, and Ross Homan all return, sporting five
varsity letters among themselves.
UW Comparator: The linebacker position is considered to be the
strength of the OSU defense, while Washington’s linebackers will
still be ramping up for the season, having lost two starters.
E. J.
Savannah and Donald Butler can smack people around. Dan Howell made
some big plays last season. This corps, however, lacks the
utter ferociousness of OSU’s linebackers and won’t be on anyone’s watch list.
Secondary
(Edge Ohio State)
Cornerback Malcolm Jenkins, a first-team All-Big Ten selection last
season, and safety Jamario O’Neal return to anchor the secondary.
Tressell loses CB Antonio Smith and SS Brandon Mitchell, and he
needs to find another corner to play alongside Jenkins and someone
to step up at safety.
Donald Washington (6-foot-1, 195, SO) is expected to see a lot of
passes coming his way, as opposing quarterbacks throw away from
lockdown-corner Jenkins. Washington accounted for 41 tackles last
season.
Six-foot-2, 210 pound junior Nick Patterson will take over the free
safety spot.
The defensive secondary boasts some good speed, with some of its
players in the 4.3 and 4.4 categories.
UW Comparator: Neither team has anything to crow about here, except
for OSU’s Jenkins. UW only forced 14 turnovers last season, and its
secondary was embarrassed by almost every Pac-10 team. Last season,
UW finished last in the conference in Pass Efficiency Defense.
Specialists:
(edge Ohio State).
Sophomore kicker Aaron Pettrey returns. Pettrey made 8 of 11 field
goal attempts in 2006, with a long of 51 yards.
Returning punter A. J. Trapasso, a junior, averaged 40.6 yards per
punt with a long of 60 yards.
UW Comparator: Washington is breaking in a new punter and a new
kicker, having lost Sean Douglas and Michael Braunstein.
Last meeting
In their last
meeting, Ohio State beat Washington 28-9 at Columbus on August 30,
2003. The final score could have been much worse for Keith
Gilbertson’s Dawgs, who were bludgeoned, battered, bruised, and
toyed with almost obscenely. Not turning the ball over via
interception or fumble kept the score closer for the Huskies than it
should have been, considering the marked disparity in quality
between the two teams. UW posted an anemic 7 yards rushing.
UW has a 3-7 lifetime
record against Ohio State.
Prediction:
A hungry Washington
team will catch Ohio State flatfooted and over-confident, basking in
the glory of two easy opening victories and in what could have been a
national championship in 2006. Washington’s speedy front seven will
test the running ability of the Buckeyes’ big, lumbering
quarterbacks.
This is the time for
emerging star quarterback Montlake Jake to shine and could be one of
the big upsets of 2007. The poet in me says that Willingham will
hand Tressel a brilliant scarlet vest…on a gray overcast
tray...amidst the fury of a loud, raucous fray.
Washington 23,
Ohio State 21
(*) Commentary:
Although Pac-10 teams look
stronger this season, Tyrone Willingham needs to better last year's
ninth-place finish in the conference race, to prove to us fans he's
making some progress. That's my metric for him this season, and not
necessarily that of his performance in the tough, out-of-conference
schedule.
In my opinion, it's
important to separate the two sets of games: conference from
non-conference games. That way no excuses can be made for losing to
a tough schedule; the coach is still accountable for his conference
record, whatever the whims of the total schedule dictate.
Each year, the conference
race is a constant measure, more or less, of the coach's progress,
except that the number of home games his team plays varies from year
to year. UW plays five Pac-10 teams at home this season (USC,
Oregon, Arizona, California and Washington State). So, an advantage
goes to Willingham this season. Next season, he'll play four
conference games at home and five on the road.
Setting that milestone means
Willingham needs to win at least four conference games this season,
to better his 3-6 mark from last season.
Am I being overly harsh on
him to expect at least four conference wins?
Egad, this will be his third
season at Washington, and Notre Dame fired him after three seasons,
albeit unfairly.
Obvious wins are against
Stanford, Arizona and Washington State, not to say they will be easy
by any stretch of the imagination. Oregon could be the fourth win.
It's at home and there is an exacting, painful payback long overdue.
Of course, if I had my
druthers, I'd like to see UW win the conference.
As a fan and alum, I'm
giving the coach five years to complete the rebuilding process
before I start howling, but I would like to see some progress being
made each season.
"Just win," he told me in
Palm Springs in March. I'm holding him to that statement and respect
his determination.