Round robins please silver catsIt's elementary, My Dear Watson
Rich Linde, 1 June 2009
The
phrase, "Round robins please silver cats (Ruthenium,
Rhodium, Palladium, Silver, Cadmium)," might
be a good mnemonic for memorizing part of the transition metals
appearing in the Periodic Table, but round-robin scheduling works to the
detriment of the Pac-10 on a national level. The silver cats (fat cats)
represent the other BCS conferences raking in the dough by virtue of
playing an added BCS bowl game.
The Pac-10 gets no respect for playing
a rugged round-robin scheduling format in determining its conference
champion. Think "the eastern mafia," starting with the Lew Alcindor rule,
and climb that crooked ladder to the biased voting leading to USC's
exclusion from the BCS title game this past season.
Yes, the conference can claim the moral high ground for having each member play each
other every season, but the other conferences and their members are
laughing all the way to the bank.
BCS football is all about the money,
not about scheduling bragging rights.
By playing a round-robin format, the
Pac-10 ensures that five of its teams will be guaranteed 5 more losses
per season than it likely would have had if it had been playing an
eight-game format as it once did. Tossing out an extra game each season,
means a Washington, say, could play a non-conference game against a non-BCS
team and gain one more win a season, increasing its chances of getting
into a bowl game and lessening its chances of going through another
litany of head coaches.
Since the inception of the BCS bowls
in the 1998/1999 season, Big Ten teams have played in 19 lucrative (high
payoff) BCS bowl games. The Pac-10 has played in 13 of them and
hasn’t had two teams playing in them since USC whipped Iowa, 38-17,
in the Orange Bowl in 2003.
The Big Ten conference has gone 8-11
in BCS bowls, while the Pac-10 has won 9 games and lost 4. (*) Because of its BCS-bowl
record, the Pac-10 has proven itself worthy of the profitable payout that would be inherent in
playing an additional BCS bowl game, more so than the Big Ten – or,
perhaps, even the Big 12, which has won 7 and lost 9.
The SEC has played in 17 BCS bowls,
wining 12 and losing 5. I have no argument with the SEC playing an extra
game.
Before the round-robin format began in
2006, Pac-10 teams skipped playing each other twice in consecutive years
over a 16-year period, with the exclusion of the natural rivalry games.
Teams played four conference games on the road and four at home.
See Bob Condotta’s blog.
The advantages of playing just eight
conference games are as follow:
-
Increased chances of going to a bowl
and playing in an added BCS bowl game. This means more money for the
conference to be split among conference members.
-
Breaking up an ugly scheduling pattern. This upcoming season, the Huskies play
five conference games at home and four on the road. However, three of
those conference teams (Cal, Oregon and USC) at home are contenders for
the conference crown. These are three conference games the Huskies would
probably lose, whether the game were played on the road or at home. You
might as well play them all on the road. Of course in 2010, it will work
the other way, but it would be nice if this pattern were scrambled by
the eight-game format, meaning that there is a 3 out of 8 chance these 3
teams, as an aggregate, might not play the Huskies in a given year.
-
Getting off to a good start. In his blog (click on link), Ted
Miller argues, “The strength of the conference, both as a mathematical
part of the BCS formula and as a perception issue within the college
football nation, would improve because records would be
better…most Pac-10 teams could schedule their way to a 3-1 or even a 4-0
start, which is what nearly every other BCS team does.”
Texas Tech, with an 11-2 record in
2008, got off to a 4-0 start by playing Eastern Washington, Nevada,
Southern Methodist and Massachusetts. It ended up in the Cotton Bowl
playing on January 2nd. Last season, the Pac-10's last bowl game, other
than the Rose Bowl, was played on December 30th in the Pacific Life
Holiday Bowl. The conference needs more TV exposure over the New Year's
holidays.
Last season, the LSU Tigers drew over
90,000 fans at home for each of its victories over Appalachian State,
North Texas, Troy and Tulane. Once Washington, say, gets into the
winning mode again, attendance at home will increase when it plays
lesser-quality teams as part of its nonconference schedule.
Miller says the reasons for playing a
round-robin format are because scheduling is more equitable and easier
to do. He says that a “...conference game is easier to sell to a fan base
than a game against a lackluster nonconference foe.”
However, he says that in an informal
poll, conference coaches voted 6-4 in favor of ending round-robin
scheduling. Miller adds, “That's about how a straw poll went in May
during the Pac-10 meetings in Phoenix, and feelings were strong enough
against the nine-game conference schedule that the athletic directors
will review the issue during their June meetings in San Francisco.”
What do the Periodic Table
and its memory gimmicks have to say about this matter?
While "round robins please silver
cats," in the period (row) below they say, "overt initiative portends gold mines (Osmium, Iridium, Platinum,
Gold, Mercury)."
That's what they say. (No,
I'm not one electron short of a full outer shell, that is, highly
reactive.)
So conference members, show some
initiative, drop the
round-robin format, and mine some gold by working towards earning a second BCS
bowl game as well as sending additional teams to lesser bowls.
If that’s
what the Periodic Table is saying, it’s got to be the right formula.
It’s elementary, My Dear Watson.
----
This month, Nick Daschel of
Buster sports will be naming his top 30 coaches in "modern" Pac-10
history, this era starting in 1959, fifty years ago. His number 30 on the list might surprise
you. (Click on link).
(*) You could argue that USC has gone 6-1 in BCS bowls, while the rest
of the conference has played to a 3-3 record. However, the conference
went 5-0 in its bowl games last season and deserved to have had Oregon
play in a BCS bowl.