
What's wrong with QB Jake
Locker's passing? They say he locks onto his primary receivers too
much, that some of his passes sail on him and that he hurries some
of his short passes.
For instance, in the USC game (a 27-24
Huskies loss), Locker continued his erratic passing by
missing three open receivers in or near the end zone. His
pass efficiency on the game was a horrible
66.29, which is based on completing 13 of 28 passes for 90 yards, with one
interception and no touchdowns.
Since 1979 when the
pass-efficiency formula was first developed, NCAA passers have
improved on technique and receivers have become more sure-handed,
while the liberal use of hands rules for offensive linemen has given passers
more time to look for an open receiver. An average passer who
sported a 100 rating from years' past would be considered a poor
passer in college football today
This week, Washington ranks
last in the conference in pass efficiency, pass offense and total
offense. Out of 119 teams, it ranks 104th in the nation in
pass-efficiency offense.
USC's potent defense,
obviously, had much to do with Locker's and the team's inefficiency, along with
some bruising hits Locker took.
For example, he took a
helmet to the kidneys on one play and on another was hurled
backwards by the part of his shoulder pads protruding from the back
of his neck. He landed on his backside first, then his back, and
finally banged
his head and helmet helplessly on the field turf. A late hit out of bounds
early on appeared to shake him up, though he said it looked worse
than it was.
All in all, it was the worst
physical beating I've seen a UW quarterback take since the one
Taylor Barton suffered at the hands of UCLA in
2001. Barton is the last Husky quarterback to beat USC, when UW won
27-24 at Husky Stadium on October 6, 2001.
Also, it rained during the
game and the ball was slippery. USC QB John David Booty didn't have
a great night either, saying that although the ball wasn't wet, it was
slippery to throw. Booty's PE on the game was an anemic 105.74,
vis à vis a pass efficiency that stands at 138.9 this season.
Locker told the media that
he was releasing the ball too high, which I tend to discount,
partially, because he was put on the spot by a questioner. It's not
in his character to blame his receivers, an injury or the weather on
his ineffectiveness.
Offensive coordinator Tim
Lappano thinks Locker's adrenaline may be running too high at times,
which may account for some overthrown passes. Certainly, his
receivers have dropped some balls this season.
His passing-efficiency
rating over the first five games of his young career stands at
103.2, a number that places him fourth on the list of UW's most
recent quarterbacks. (See the table below). Currently, he ranks
tenth in the conference in passing efficiency. Dennis Dixon of
Oregon leads the Pac-10 with a rating of 168.9, which is good for
eighth in NCAA Division I-A football.
Overall, Locker is
completing 51.8% of his passes. He has thrown for 794 yards, 6
touchdowns and 7 interceptions. Because of his running ability, he
ranks fifth in the conference in total offense, averaging 241 yards
per game.
He was supposed to have
worked on his passing accuracy over the summer months by improving
his footwork. However, without a running game to
give him more time to throw on rhythm, it's too early in the young
man's career to say that his inaccuracy is a generic problem. Most
likely his passing accuracy against USC was affected by the weather, the
lack of offensive rhythm, some hits he took, and by his youth and
inexperience.
It should be mentioned that
in his first five games, Montlake Jake has suffered the slings and
arrows of outrageous fortune by going up against the
number-one-and-number-four teams in the nation, USC and Ohio State,
respectively. In his fourth game, once eleventh ranked UCLA was no
slouch on defense either.
Coach Willingham is smiling
and looking happier on the sidelines these days -- a Pete Carroll
kind of thing. Are his steely stare and stern look just
a passing fancy, pun intended? Coach Ty may know something we fans don't know.
The coach has
a winning aura about him, and will eventually recruit a championship
team around Locker -- which is certain to end the passing woes of
Jake by the lake.
While we fans wait patiently
for Locker to develop into his expected promise, images of a BCS
title game decked out in brilliant purple play on a virtual
jumbotron at a refurbished Husky Stadium somewhere in the future.
Once we are all on the same frequency -- the fans, the promise, the
images, the refurbishment -- virtual turns to real and all hell will
beak loose in the upper echelon of the Pac-9, within those conference
members who buried the Huskies back in 1993, for the Dawgs will be
back, seeking vengeance for themselves, their loyal fans and former
coach Don James.
Next time around, no one
will stop us.
----------
As a result of all the
penalty yardage (161 yards) USC drew against Washington, the Huskies
lead the conference in opponent penalties this week. Washington also
leads the conference in penalties incurred, ahead of Stanford, no
less. The smart guys at the Tree always lead that stat. Washington ranks third
in the conference in pass defense. UW is a well-coached team.
Table 1. Recent UW
quarterbacks and pass efficiency.
I threw this table in as a matter of interest only. It's too early
in Jake's career to compare his passing with other Husky
quarterbacks.
| Name |
G |
C |
A |
Y |
P |
I |
TD |
Eff |
| Cody Pickett |
38 |
792 |
1373 |
9916 |
58.0 |
42 |
53 |
124.9 |
| Isaiah Stanback |
37 |
269 |
523 |
3868 |
51.4 |
12 |
22 |
122.9 |
| M. Tuiasosopo |
42 |
418 |
761 |
5501 |
54.9 |
28 |
31 |
121.7 |
| Jake Locker |
5 |
73 |
141 |
794 |
51.8 |
7 |
6 |
103.2 |
| Carl Bonnell |
19 |
95 |
224 |
1195 |
42.1 |
15 |
7 |
84.14 |
| Casey Paus |
17 |
126 |
297 |
1627 |
42.4 |
18 |
7 |
84.10 |
Table 2. 11-stat comparator.
In our 11-stat comparator, Washington has an
average national ranking of 65.6, out of 119 Division I-A teams,
where RO=Rushing Offense, RD=Rushing Defense, PEO=Pass Efficiency
Offense, PED=Pass Efficiency Defense, SO=Scoring Offense, SD=Scoring
Defense, SF=Sacks For, SA=Sacks allowed, and TM=Turnover Margin.
Arizona State, the Huskies next opponent, has
an average national ranking of 24.3, a number that has been skewed
upwards by sacks allowed. Looking at the PEO/PED stats, I would
guess that Locker might have another bad night throwing the ball.
| T |
TO |
TD |
RO |
RD |
PEO |
PED |
SO |
SD |
SF |
SA |
TM |
AV |
| UW |
93 |
83 |
53 |
86 |
104 |
46 |
59 |
59 |
46 |
34 |
58 |
65.6 |
| ASU |
24 |
16 |
43 |
12 |
9 |
6 |
17 |
6 |
20 |
100 |
14 |
24.3 |