We're reluctant to blame Washington's defense
entirely for the Dub's 44-31 defeat at the hands of UCLA, even
though the D gave up 537 total yards to the Bruins.
We won't get a true measure of the defense
until the offense begins to assert itself and puts some long drives
together. Instead, there are too many of those three-and-outs that
send the defense right back onto the field -- without much rest.
For example, in the third quarter against UCLA, the offense had two
three-and-outs and posted just 32 yards total yards, with two yards
rushing. UCLA controlled the ball for much of the third quarter
(9:34 to 5:36). The disparity in the first quarter was even more
significant (Bruins 10:32 to 4:28).
Some lowlights for the Huskies:
-- With 11:44 to go and the UW defense,
bunched together in virtually an eleven-man front knowing that UCLA
(leading 24-17) was stuck with a ground game the rest of the way,
Chris Markey found a small seam in the defense and rammed the ball
up the gut on a 72-yard run to the house. That killed the momentum
UW seemingly enjoyed after Cowan's injury.
-- Meanwhile Jake Locker needs some help. He
can't do it all alone. Locker ran 15 times for 92 yards. His
supporting cast accumulated a paltry 32 yards rushing on 17 carries.
-- Likewise, running back Louis Rankin can't do
it all alone. Losing RB James Montgomery to Cal is turning out to be
the moldy bread left over from the 2006 recruiting class's cupboard.
Where is J. R. Hasty and some of those freshmen?
-- For much of three quarters, Washington's
offense sputtered like a hydroplane dying in the water on Lake
Washington. Plain and simply put, Washington's defense was on the
field too long and tired badly in the second half, especially in the
fourth quarter. Locker began to shine after UCLA's defense tired.
-- Young Locker locks onto his primary receiver
too much, telegraphing his passes. Some of his long passes sail on
him. He has a tendency to throw to his left too much, a predilection
the Bruins keyed on.
-- Offensive coordinator's Tim Lappano's
spread-coast offense is too much spread and not enough west coast
(or Bill Walsh). Locker needs to throw more of the
dink-and-dunk-run-after-catch variety. Also the tight ends need to
get into the action more. Robert Lewis caught a 7-yard pass for the
sum of the tight-end's contributions, pass-wise.
-- Handling the punting and kickoffs, Jared
Ballman seemed to tire in the fourth quarter. Perhaps Ryan Perkins
should handle the punting chores, as well as field goal tries and
PATs? What's happened to kicker Eric Folk? Is he still suffering
from back spasms?
-- Er, hum, the media and
the "spot" light
-- At least one member of
the local media had a diatribe working for him, putting defensive
coordinator Kent Baer on the spot. Baer can't say that Lappano's
sputtering offense kept his defense on the field too long, this for
much of three quarters. That would be ragging on one of his good
buddies. Baer's defense was clearly worn out going into the fourth
quarter. Also, obvious, is an overall lack of depth on the squad.
Unethical questioning -- like when did you stop beating your wife?
-- is why Coach Willingham limits the media's access to his team,
and for good reason. Like Baer's dilemma, Willingham can't say that
"unethical questioning" is one of the reasons for their limited
access to his team, so I'll say it for him.
-- Speaking of casting blame
on
our defensive coaches, check this article
out, which appeared on dawgman.com. Now, Derek is a friend of mine
and so is dawgman, but didn't the article go too far with its
criticism, especially at this crucial point in the Huskies'
agonizing return to respectability? The critique could have been
handled on the QT, silently, behind the lines, no pun intended. As
it was, Coach Willingham, like Baer, was put on the spot during his
radio show by a caller who had read the article. Willingham took all
the blame, in effect. I'm not saying the article was unethical, but
it certainly didn't help the Huskies, in my opinion, though it was
written with the intent of ameliorating a tough situation, I am sure. Derek is
an ardent fan of the Huskies.
Some Husky highlights:
-- Locker's pass efficiency on the game,
123.18, was remarkable considering the Bruins were keying on him,
knowing they were facing a one-dimensional offense: Jake Locker.
-- Locker has the potential to be the greatest
quarterback in Husky history. Willingham is certain to build a team
around him. That's one of the reasons he was smiling -- so
uncharacteristically of him -- and so much during the game.
-- After being thrashed for three quarters, the
fact the Huskies were still in the game going into the fourth
quarter. Credit Coach Willingham for instilling within his players
the character, competitiveness and motivation needed to stay in a
mismatch to the very end.
-- For the most part, Washington's pass
receivers played a good game. What happens after most of them are
gone next season?
-- Surprise, surprise. UW ranks second in the
conference in Pass Defense, yielding 228.2 yards per game. Does this
mean UW has shored up its suspect secondary?
The USC game:
Washington plays number-one USC on Saturday at
Husky Stadium. In our six-stat comparator, USC leads UW 30.08 to
60.08, where the two numbers represents the average national ranking for
eleven significant statistical categories. Interestingly, USC ranks 89th in turnover
margin while UW ranks 65th. [#] In the SSC, Oregon ranks 30.5 and
Cal posts a 30.5. Statistically, their games with 'SC appear dead
even.
UW is averaging 27.8 points per game, while 'SC
is averaging 48.5. Theoretically, you might expect a score of 49 to
28, say, in favor of USC. However, the Huskies are coming off a
disappointing loss, their fans figure to make a lot of noise, and
the Huskies will play the game in retro-uniforms to honor the 1960
football team. That team was awarded the 1960 national championship by the
Helms Athletic Foundation and will be so honored at the game for that
achievement.
So, give the Dawgs 7 points for
the noise and 7 points for
playing in front of those fighting members of Jim Owens' team. We
think USC will win, but narrowly, 42-35, in a nail biter.
[#] SSC = ((TO+TD)/2 + (RO+RD)/2 + (PEO+PED)/2
+ (SO+SD)/2 + (SF + SA)/2 + TM)/6, where TO=Total Offense, TD=Total
Defense, RO=Rushing Offense, RD=Rushing Defense, PEO=Pass Efficiency
Offense, PED=Pass Efficiency Defense, SO=Scoring Offense, SD=Scoring
Defense, SF=Sacks For, SA=Sacks against, and TM=Turnover Margin. The
variables consist of the numbers for the team’s national ranking in
a certain category. For example, the Huskies ranked 73rd in the
nation in Total Offense last week. It's called a six-stat comparator
because we divide the whole Magilla by six.