"Two-armed" Jake
If you're not into stats, take a pass, pun intendedRichard Linde, 12 February 2008
Although Jake Locker’s passing has been criticized,
his numbers from last season offer a glimmer of hope for next season.
Obviously, Locker needs to continue to work on his passing proficiency
over the next six months. He’ll only get better. Yet, young Locker is
not as poor a passer as his passing efficiency rating might indicate.
In fact, I called him
"Two-armed" Jake in this article because of his twelve
individual PE's from last season. On the one arm -- I mean hand -- his efficiency (PE)
was 134.36 in six of his twelve games. And on the other hand, for the
other six games, his efficiency rating was 82.55. Which arm -- or
throwing hand -- will step to
the fore next season?
Based on twelve games
last season, he posted a final passing efficiency rating of 105, which
ranked him eighth in the conference. Dennis Dixon of Oregon led the
Pac-10 with a passing efficiency of 162, which was third best in the
nation. Locker’s number didn’t rank him among the nation’s 100 top passers.
In the past, a high
release point and improper footwork, among other reasons, have been cited
for his poor completion percentage (47.3% last season). But...embedded
in the stats is the notion that his mediocre numbers are not altogether his fault.
From a statistical
standpoint, his poor passing efficiency can be explained by strength of
schedule, while an injury he suffered in the Oregon State game likely
affected his sour stats in the WSU game.
Considering Locker was a redshirt freshman, his passing efficiency can
be viewed as acceptable in 6 games, while being below average in 6
others.
He played six games
with a P. E. of 82.55, which ranged from a low of 52.46 to a high of
86.05.
-- Three of the six
teams – Ohio State, USC, and ASU
-- had an average national ranking of 8.3 in pass-efficiency defense.
Stats aside, a running quarterback who refuses to slide, has to pick up
some bumps and bruises that negatively affect his passing, especially
against a hard-hitting team like USC -- a horse-collaring of Locker
looking particularly debilitating in the game last year.
As for the other three
games:
-- Locker's PE (83.39)
against Stanford was affected by the Huskies' dominating running game.
(See the Table below). Simply put, the
young quarterback’s arm was not needed against the Tree -- so why take
any risks with your arm.?
-- He left the Oregon
State game after taking an ugly helmet-to-helmet collision, posting his worst PE of the season,
52.46.
-- Locker also
underachieved in the WSU game, carding an 86.05. Uncertainty may have
been a factor against the Cougars, as he'd just returned from injury, having
missed the Cal game.
In the Table below, Locker's PE is 82.55
for all six games; for those games, he completed 46% of his passes.
| Team |
PE |
Comment |
| tOSU |
79.25 |
Ranked 4th in nation in Pass Efficiency
Defense |
| USC |
66.29 |
Ranked 6th in nation in PED |
| ASU |
82.96 |
Ranked 15th in nation in PED |
| Tree |
83.39 |
Didn't need Locker's arm (PED=84) |
| OSU |
52.46 |
Injured in game (PED=37) |
| WSU |
86.05 |
Coming off injury (PED=81) |
Locker played six games
with a PE of 134.38, which would have ranked him fifth in the
Pac-10 and thirty-ninth nationally if that had been his final number. In this six-game,
non-contiguous segment, he completed 52% of his
passes. PED (Pass efficiency defense) is shown for each team below.
| Team |
PE |
PED |
| Syracuse |
136.46 |
109 |
| BSU |
122.05 |
24 * |
| UCLA |
123.18 |
32 |
| Oregon |
144.48 |
29 |
| Arizona |
159.41 |
33 |
| Hawaii |
111.34 |
21 * |
* The Boise State and Hawaii PEDs should be taken with a
grain of salt.
This season, back-up QB
Carl Bonnell finished with a PE of 118.5. RB Louis Rankin, out-ranked
all the passers with an efficiency of 197.6, and has a career number of
158.1. Locker rushed for 986 yards, averaging 82.2 yards per game.
To improve on his passing proficiency next season,
Jake by the Lake will need to get by the likes of Oklahoma, USC and
Notre Dame; otherwise, if last season’s numbers are any indication, his
PE will be sputtering near 105 again -- throttled down like my
high-torque golf cart and bocce ball game. His pass receivers will need to get
open in those games and, to help him complete some throws, the offensive line
will need to buy him some time.
Since they call Don
Heinrich the "Arm" in Husky lore, will they call Locker "Two-armed"
Jake, one on and one off, like in Wild-brats on and Toe-jams off, for
which arm will it be in 2K8?
Of course, Jake needs
to work hard on his throwing motion in preparation for 2008. However,
statistics and happenstance indicate that his disappointing throwing in
2007 was not all his fault.
In the table below,
Locker's passing efficiency is shown game by game, along with his
cumulative statistics as the season progressed. Nomenclature:
C=completions; A=attempts; Y=yards, T=touchdowns, I=interceptions, and
PE=passing efficiency.
| Team |
C |
A |
Y |
T |
I |
PE |
C |
A |
Y |
T |
I |
PE |
| Syracuse |
14 |
19 |
142 |
0 |
0 |
136.46 |
14 |
19 |
142 |
0 |
0 |
136.46 |
| BSU |
13 |
25 |
193 |
1 |
1 |
122.05 |
27 |
44 |
335 |
1 |
1 |
128.27 |
| tOSU |
16 |
33 |
153 |
1 |
3 |
79.25 |
43 |
77 |
488 |
2 |
4 |
107.26 |
| UCLA |
17 |
36 |
216 |
4 |
2 |
123.18 |
60 |
113 |
704 |
6 |
6 |
112.33 |
| USC |
13 |
28 |
90 |
0 |
1 |
66.29 |
73 |
141 |
794 |
6 |
7 |
103.19 |
| ASU |
10 |
28 |
142 |
1 |
1 |
82.96 |
83 |
169 |
936 |
7 |
8 |
99.84 |
| UO |
12 |
31 |
257 |
4 |
1 |
144.48 |
95 |
200 |
1193 |
11 |
9 |
106.76 |
| UA |
17 |
30 |
336 |
2 |
2 |
159.41 |
112 |
230 |
1529 |
13 |
11 |
113.62 |
| Tree |
16 |
32 |
151 |
0 |
1 |
83.39 |
128 |
262 |
1680 |
13 |
12 |
109.93 |
| OSU |
6 |
14 |
16 |
0 |
0 |
52.46 |
134 |
276 |
1696 |
13 |
12 |
107.02 |
| WSU |
12 |
35 |
224 |
1 |
2 |
86.05 |
146 |
311 |
1920 |
14 |
14 |
104.06 |
| Hawaii |
9 |
17 |
142 |
0 |
1 |
111.34 |
155 |
328 |
2062 |
14 |
15 |
105 |
Career stats for Washington's last few
quarterbacks.
| Name |
G |
C |
A |
Y |
P |
I |
TD |
Eff |
| Cody Pickett |
38 |
792 |
1373 |
9916 |
58.0 |
42 |
53 |
124.9 |
| Isaiah Stanback |
37 |
269 |
523 |
3868 |
51.4 |
12 |
22 |
122.9 |
| M. Tuiasosopo |
42 |
418 |
761 |
5501 |
54.9 |
28 |
31 |
121.7 |
| Jake Locker |
12 |
155 |
328 |
2062 |
47.3 |
14 |
15 |
105 |
| Carl Bonnell |
19 |
112 |
271 |
1536 |
41.3 |
15 |
10 |
90 |
| Casey Paus |
17 |
126 |
297 |
1627 |
42.4 |
18 |
7 |
84.10 |