Washington opens its season
on August 30, going against the Oregon Ducks at “let me Autzen here,” which
is a familiar cry in the city of Eugene, Oregon on fall Saturdays.
Oregon returns 15 starters,
6 on offense, 7 on defense and 2 specialists.
Going into his fourteenth
season at Oregon, head coach Mike Bellotti, the dean of Pac-10 coaches, has
an overall head coaching record of 129-77-2. He has gone 106-52 at Oregon
and is 65-41 in the Pac-10. His teams have made 11 bowl appearances and
have won 5 of them. Last season, Oregon (9-4) overwhelmed South Florida in
the Brut Sun bowl, 56-21.
Bellotti earned more than
$1.9 million in 2007, making him the second highest paid coach in the
Pac-10. Bellotti’s rollover clause keeps five years remaining on his
contract after each season. His overall compensation is incentivized by
season ticket sales.
The Ducks lose key starters
Jonathan Stewart and Dennis Dixon from last season. Stewart was the
thirteenth overall pick in the NFL draft. Stewart led the conference in
rushing and all-purpose yards last season (132.6 and 190.8 yards per game,
respectively). Dixon led the conference in pass efficiency, posting a 161.2
rating.
Last season the Ducks led
the conference in rushing offense, turnover margin, scoring offense, total
offense, first downs, and red zone defense. They finished fourth in the
conference with a 5-4 record, losing three consecutive games to close out
the regular season after Dixon went down in the ASU game. The Ducks were
ranked second in the in the BCS poll before Dixon was lost on the season.
In 2007, Oregon finished
seventh in the conference in total defense.
In the spring game, the
whites cleaned the greens’ clock, 36-3, as QB Justin Roper, the surprise
hero of the Brut Sun bowl, did some spring cleaning. Roper hit Ed Dickson
over the middle for 67 yards on his first throw, and later ran for a
touchdown from eight yards out. He finished 3 of 7 for 82 yards. Last
season, Roper completed 32 of 61 passes for 342 yards, 6 touchdowns and 2
interceptions, which gives him a pass efficiency rating of 125.46.
In Oregon’s spring game,
both the green and white defensive teams combined to give up a generous 5.8
yards per carry, but managed to limit the passing game, allowing 16 of 46
passes while intercepting two balls and registering eight sacks. After the
game, defensive coordinator Nick Aliotti was quoted as saying, “I think
after spring ball, I am very pleased…I think that at defensive tackle we're
going to be okay, we need to get a little bit tougher mentally. I think at
free safety and rover, we’re going to be ok. Jury is still out on whose
going to be our three top linebackers.”
The Ducks have six good
quarterbacks, two of them in the personage of Roper and Nate Costa, both of
whom will be vying for the starting spot in the fall. As rumored, Cody
Kempt, caught up in some stiff competition at the position, is transferring
to Montana State. Kempt was running neck-and-neck with BYU transfer Cade
Cooper. Also in the race are freshmen Darron Thomas and Chris Harper. Costa
missed spring practices because of a surgically repaired knee.
However, Harper, a freshman
from Wichita, has Mike Bellotti talking about a two-quarterback system come
fall. "I can see (Harper) coming in and providing the same type of spark
that Tim Tebow did as a true freshman at Florida. With the ball in his
hands, he's as dangerous a quarterback as we've had.''
Harper (6’ 2.5”, 230)
apparently matches Jake Locker in size. Roper (6’ 6”, 204) may need to bulk
up a bit. Rivals.com ranks Costa as the nineteenth best dual-threat
quarterback in the 2006 recruiting season and ranks Harper as the fourteenth
best athlete in the 2008 season. Harper sports a 4.45 in the 40. In the
spring game, Harper ran for 67 yards on 14 carries, including a 27-yard
scramble, and completed a 53-yard pass to Malachi Lewis, who made a
one-handed grab.
QB Jeremiah Masoli (So,
6-0, 205, 4.5) will join the Ducks this summer. Out of CCSF and considered
the top JC quarterback in the nation last year, Masoli
completed 61.3 percent of his passes
(258-of-421) for 3,592 yards and 30 touchdowns against 5 picks. He rushed
for 448 yards and hit pay-dirt eleven times -- this, the old fashioned
way. His passing efficiency rating on the season was 154.09.
Last season against the
Ducks, Locker ran for 78 yards and completed 12 of
31 passes for 257 yards, and 4 touchdowns against 1 interception. His pass
efficiency was 144.48 on the game, the second highest rating for him of the
12 games he played. Oregon outscored UW, 55-34, amalgamating 661
total yards. Washington gave up a school record 446.4 yards per game last
season, so its whole defense is suspect.
| Logjam at QB |
Comment |
| Justin Roper |
Led the Ducks to a win in Sun Bowl |
| Nate Costa |
Sat out spring rehabbing a knee |
| Cody Kempt |
Transferred to Montana State |
| Cade Cooper |
BYU transfer |
| Chris Harper |
Outstanding spring game |
| Darron Thomas |
Struggled somewhat in spring game |
| Jeremiah Masoli |
Top JC quarterback in 2007 |
When the Dawgs meet the
Ducks, there should be a whole lot of runnin’ goin’ on at the QB position.
The fact that DE Nick Reed
and DB Patrick Chung are on the Bronko Nagurski watch list may give the
Ducks some defensive bragging rights. Chung finished third in the conference
in tackles last season, registering 117 total tackles. Reed led the
conference in both sacks and tackles for a loss last season. CB Jairus
Byrd’s 7 interceptions ranked him first in the conference, and he finished
third in passes defended. Juniors Byrd and Walter Thurmond have been
starting at cornerback since they were freshmen.
Max Unger, first team
Pac-10 at the pivot last season, anchors an OL that features two other
returning starters in LT Fenuki Tupou and RG Mark Lewis. Unger is a member
of the 2008 Rimington Trophy watch list.
At tailback, JC transfer
LaGarrette Blount (6-2, 235; 4.5) gives Oregon what looks to be a bruising
running game, featuring two big bodies with tons of speed -- that is, if
Chip Kelly gives either Harper or Masoli the green light in a two QB rotation
with Roper, say.
The offensive line and
defensive secondary are considered the strength of the team.
Here’s how Washington and
Oregon matchup:
Quarterback: Edge goes to
Washington. With his running ability and improvement as a passer this
spring, Locker is arguably the best QB in the conference. There is no
quarterback in the conference more valuable to his team than Locker.
Tailbacks: Blount is a
powerhouse runner, who will be complimented by Jeremiah Johnson (54 carries,
315 yards) and Andre Crenshaw (82 carries, 415 yards). Washington’s only
proven tailback, Brandon Johnson, should be ready by fall, having had minor
arthroscopic surgery done on his knee. I’m giving Oregon my vote here.
Fullback: A very slight
edge goes to UW, mainly because Oregon doesn’t list a fullback on its
roster. Paul Homer and Luke Kravitz give UW a nice duo at what is becoming
an antediluvian position.
Offense line: Edge goes to
Oregon because of the stalwart Unger, who in football parlance does Yeoman
duty. Max can play tackle, too, if his versatility is needed because of
injuries along the front line. Possibly losing C Juan Garcia to what could
be the whole season is a blow to the Huskies. He suffered a Liz-franc sprain
in the spring game, and is currently rehabbing his left foot for a possible
mid-season return.
Wide receivers: Big-time
nod to Oregon. UW has lost five wide receivers to graduation. Oregon returns Jaison Williams (55 catches, 844 yards). The 6-foot-5, 240 pound Williams
gives Oregon QBs a big target to throw to. And then there is Ed Dickson
(6-5, 240) at tight end. Also, at WR and TE, respectively, JC transfers
Ellis Krout (6-4, 190, 4.55) and Zach Taylor (6-4, 233, 4.7) hardly qualify
as mini-me targets.
Washington has several
first-year guys who could drive Aliotti wonky. However, they are just that,
first-year guys. The Dawgs’ only experienced receivers, D’Andre Goodwin and
Curtis Shaw, caught eleven passes between them for 74 yards last
season. Goodwin had a nice spring.
Tight end: Oregon wins out
here with Dickson, who had 43 catches for 453 yards last season.
Defensive line: Oregon gets
the nod here, with the return of DEs Reed and Will Tukaufu. Washington has
lost 5 of its 6 top spots on the defensive line, and this position, in
import, could be akin to pulling a crab at a regatta. To help plug the loss
of DTs Dave Faaeteete and Jereme Gibbs, the Ducks
are bringing in JC transfers Justin Thompson (5-stars, 6-5, 290) and Blake
Ferras (3-stars, 6-5, 285). All in all, six of Oregon’s incoming class are JC transfers.
Linebackers: Give UW the
edge because the jury is still out on the Ducks’ linebackers.
Leading the Huskies
is LB E. J. Savannah, who finished sixth in the conference in tackles last
season and registered 111 total tackles. Savannah has been in and out of the
coaches’ doghouse, and recently broke his right humorous (arm) bone on 3
June, which the doctors say will require two to three months to heel. We’re
guessing he’ll play against Oregon.
Savannah was replaced in the early part of spring drills by
walk-on
Joshua
Gage.
Trenton
Tuiasosopo
and
Donald Butler
shared the middle and
Mason
Foster
started at the other outside spot.
Oregon returns two seniors
at LB, Jerome Boyd (6-2, 220) and John Bacon (6-4,230). But both of them
missed the entire spring because of injuries.
In the Oregon’s spring
game, middle linebacker Casey Mathews racked up five solo and five assisted
tackles, with three of them being for a loss. He also recorded two sacks.
Defensive backs:
Oregon gets the nod. Thurmond, Chung and Byrd give Oregon some veteran,
proven personnel. UW looks for an improved secondary, but it will need time
to gel.
Special teams: Oregon wins
this category, even though some key personnel -- e.g., Jonathan Stewart,
Oregon and Andy Russo, Washington – are no longer with the teams. Place
kicker Matt Evenson and punter Josh Syria return for Oregon, as do Ryan
Perkins, Nick Folk, and Jared Ballman for UW. Last season, Oregon finished
sixth in punt return average, fifth in field goals, first in PAT kicking,
fourth in kickoff coverage, second in kickoff returns and fifth in punting.
Washington finished first, sixth, fifth, ninth, ninth, and sixth,
respectively, in those categories. Newly hired assistant coach Brian White
brings a fresh face to UW Special teams.
| Category (2007, Pac-10) |
Ducks |
Dawgs |
| Punt return average |
6th |
1st |
| Field goals |
5th |
6th |
| PAT kicking |
1st |
5th |
| Kickoff coverage |
4th |
9th |
| Kickoff returns |
2nd |
9th |
| Punting |
5th |
6th |
Coaching: The aging Bellotti, 57, trumps the Huskies’ head coach Tyrone Willingham, whose job,
sitting on a powder keg, bemoans its 11-25 record at UW. We give offensive
coordinator Chip Kelly the nod over his counterpart at UW, Tim Lappano.
Hired for the 2007 season, Kelly can boast of accumulating both the most
points and total yards in school history. Based on his twenty years of
coaching in the Pac-10, Aliotti wins out over Ed Donatell, the newly hired defensive coordinator at
Washington. Aliotti has coached fifteen years at Oregon.
The last-place Huskies have
brought in three new assistant coaches: Donatell, along with Steve Gervais
to coach running backs, and White to coach tight ends and special teams. All
three incoming coaches have used up their players’ eligibility. ;-)
Final Score: Oregon 45,
Washington 28.
Oregon has gone the JC route to plug some significant
graduation losses, while Washington’s tough admission standards make it
difficult to bring in junior college transfers, this according to a former
recruiting coordinator at UW. We expect Washington’s offense to sputter its
first time out, while Oregon’s offense should mirror its spring game and
post some big numbers. Eugene’s fire department will be closely watching
Willingham’s hot seat for the possibility of spontaneous combustion as the
scoreboard heats up.
Six JC transfers,
including Blount, Masoli and Thompson? The Michigan game last year, on
national television, was quite a showcase for the Ducks. Yikes, let me Autzen here.